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Before you begin
This diagnostic assesses your fuel or energy expenditure, operational and infrastructure readiness, financial capacity, and decision-making structure — the four factors that determine whether an energy transition project will succeed at your organisation.
At the end, you'll receive a Transition Readiness Score, a recommended pathway — for facilities: CNG, solar/storage, biogas or LPG; for fleets: bi-fuel or dual-fuel CNG conversion, station investment, or a phased pilot — and a set of flags identifying what to address before committing capex.
Who is this for?
Nigerian businesses weighing an energy transition — whether that means powering a facility (manufacturing, agro-processing, cold chain) or converting a vehicle fleet to CNG (haulage, logistics, buses, distribution, ride-hailing).
Nigerian businesses weighing an energy transition — whether that means powering a facility (manufacturing, agro-processing, cold chain) or converting a vehicle fleet to CNG (haulage, logistics, buses, distribution, ride-hailing).
First — which best describes what you're assessing?
A facility or plant — factory, processing site, cold store, or other fixed premises running on diesel or grid power
A vehicle fleet — trucks, buses, vans, or cars I'm considering converting to CNG
Both — I operate a facility and a fleet
1
Energy expenditure profile
1. What is your approximate monthly energy spend (diesel + grid combined)?
Below ₦3 million
₦3 million – ₦8 million
₦8 million – ₦20 million
Above ₦20 million
2. What share of your energy comes from diesel generators?
Less than 30% — mostly grid-connected
30–60% — significant grid dependency with gen backup
60–90% — primarily diesel-powered
90%+ — almost entirely diesel-dependent
3. How has your energy cost changed in the last 18 months?
Stable — no significant change
Increased by 20–40%
Increased by 40–80%
More than doubled
2
Infrastructure & site readiness
4. Do you have a dedicated facility with a fixed location?
Yes — permanent, owned facility
Yes — long-term leased facility (5+ years remaining)
Short-term lease (under 3 years)
No fixed facility — mobile or distributed operations
5. Does your location have access to any of the following?
CNG refuelling station within 10km, or existing gas pipeline access
Large roof/land area with good solar irradiation (unshaded)
Organic waste or agro-residue feedstock available on-site
None of the above — limited infrastructure access
6. What is your daily generator runtime?
Under 4 hours
4–8 hours
8–16 hours
16–24 hours (near-continuous)
3
Financial capacity & appetite
7. What level of capital investment could your business consider for an energy project?
Under ₦10 million
₦10 million – ₦50 million
₦50 million – ₦200 million
Above ₦200 million — open to DFI or bank financing
8. What payback period would your business accept for an energy investment?
Under 18 months — very short payback only
18 months – 3 years
3 – 5 years
5 – 10 years — willing to view as long-term infrastructure
9. Have you previously engaged with a bank, DFI, or grant programme for energy financing?
Yes — successfully accessed financing before
Yes — explored it but did not proceed
No — but open to exploring it
No — prefer to self-fund only
4
Decision structure & urgency
10. Who makes the final decision on a capital investment of this scale?
I do — sole founder/MD with full authority
Myself and one or two co-founders / directors
Requires board or investor approval
Complex approval process — multiple committees or parent company
11. Has energy cost directly limited your production output or profitability in the last 12 months?
Yes — we have reduced shifts or output due to energy cost
Yes — margins have been materially affected
Somewhat — it's a growing concern but not yet critical
No — energy is an inconvenience, not a constraint
12. If the numbers stacked up, when would your business realistically act?
Within the next 3 months — this is a priority
3–6 months — planning for this year
6–12 months — exploring for next year
12+ months — early research stage
1
Fleet profile & fuel expenditure
1. How many vehicles are in the fleet you're considering converting?
1–5 vehicles
6–20 vehicles
21–75 vehicles
More than 75 vehicles
2. What is your approximate monthly fleet fuel spend (petrol and diesel combined)?
Below ₦2 million
₦2 million – ₦10 million
₦10 million – ₦40 million
Above ₦40 million
3. Roughly what share of your total operating cost is fuel?
Under 15% — fuel is a minor line item
15–30%
30–45%
Above 45% — fuel is our single largest cost
2
Vehicle profile & route economics
4. What best describes your vehicle mix?
Mostly petrol (PMS) — cars, vans, minibuses, light commercial
Mixed petrol and diesel vehicles
Mostly diesel — trucks, tippers, heavy haulage
Specialised or heavy plant equipment
5. What is the average daily distance covered per vehicle?
Under 50 km — low utilisation
50–150 km
150–300 km
Over 300 km — high daily mileage
6. How would you describe your route and depot pattern?
Fixed routes, vehicles return to a central depot nightly
Regional routes along major corridors (Lagos–Ibadan, Abuja–Kaduna, etc.)
Long-haul interstate with variable routing
Fully ad-hoc — no predictable route or return base
3
Refuelling access & financial capacity
7. What CNG refuelling access do you have near your depot or along your routes?
Station within 10 km of depot — or gas pipeline access for an on-site station
Stations available along our main operating corridors
Nearest station is 25–75 km away
No CNG refuelling access that I'm aware of
8. How would you fund conversion kits and any refuelling infrastructure?
Open to bank, DFI, or lease financing — and to PCNGi / government conversion incentives
Mix of internal capital and external financing
Internal cash only — phased across a few vehicles at a time
No capital allocated yet — still exploring
9. What payback period would justify converting a vehicle?
Under 9 months — very short payback only
9–18 months
18 months – 3 years
3 years or more — willing to view as fleet infrastructure
4
Operations, decision structure & urgency
10. How much vehicle downtime could you tolerate for conversion works?
We have spare capacity — vehicles can be released in batches
A few vehicles at a time, scheduled around low season
Very limited — every vehicle is committed most days
None — any downtime directly costs us contracts
11. Has fuel cost directly limited your operations or margins in the last 12 months?
Yes — we have parked vehicles or turned down jobs over fuel cost
Yes — margins have been materially squeezed
Somewhat — a growing concern but not yet critical
No — we have passed cost through to customers
12. If the numbers stacked up, when would you realistically begin converting?
Within the next 3 months — this is a priority
3–6 months — planning for this year
6–12 months — exploring for next year
12+ months — early research stage
Your results are ready.
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Your Transition Readiness Score
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A CircularEnergies feasibility study gives you a site-specific financial model, bankable technology recommendation, and implementation roadmap — designed to satisfy your board, lender, or DFI.
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Results generated by CircularEnergies Transition Readiness Diagnostic v1.0 · June 2026
For a customised site analysis, contact advisory@circularenergies.africa
For a customised site analysis, contact advisory@circularenergies.africa